Global Trends 2030 – The Future of Germany in the World and in Europe

Global Trends 2030 – The Future of Germany in the World and in Europe


The United States National Intelligence Council (NIC) Global Trends Report engages expertise from outside government on factors such as globalization, demography and the environment, producing a forward-looking document to aid policymakers in their long term planning on key issues of worldwide importance.
Since the first report was released in 1997, the audience for each Global Trends report has expanded, generating more interest and reaching a broader audience than the one that preceded it. A new Global Trends report is published every four years following the U.S. presidential election.

Dr. Mathew Burrows, the Washington-based principal author and manager of the report and Counselor to the NIC, and Mr. Jonathan Paris, a London-based consultant to the NIC and Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council of the US will present the new Global Trends 2030.


In the first session of the meeting, Dr. Mathew Burrows will introduce the Report followed by a discussion with the meeting participants. The second and final session will address the future of Germany in the world and in Europe. Mr. Jonathan Paris will kick off the discussion of the second panel focusing on the future of Germany and Europe.

| Dr. Mathew Burrows was appointed Counselor to the National Intelligence Council (NIC) in July 2007 and Director of the Analysis and Production Staff (APS) in January 2010. He also served previously as Director of APS from 2003 to 2007. As Director of APS, he is responsible for managing a staff of senior analysts and production technicians who guide and shepherd all NIC products from inception to dissemination. He was the principal drafter for the NIC publication, Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World. In September 2005, he was asked to set up and direct the NIC's new Long Range Analysis Unit. Dr. Burrows joined the CIA in 1986, where he served as analyst for the Directorate of Intelligence (DI), covering Western Europe, including the development of European institutions such as the European Union. In 1998-99 he was the first holder of the Intelligence Community Fellowship, and served at the Council of Foreign Relations in New York. Other previous positions included assignments as special assistant to the US UN Ambassador Richard Holbrooke, 1999-2001, and Deputy National Security Advisor to US Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill in 2001-2002. He is a member of the DI's Senior Analyst Service. Dr. Burrows graduated from Wesleyan University in 1976 and in 1983 received a PhD in European History from Cambridge University, England.

| Jonathan Paris is a London-based political analyst doing research in the future of Europe, Africa, the Middle East and South Asia, as well as transatlantic relations and international security.  He is a Senior Fellow with the Atlantic Council, Senior Advisor for The Chertoff Group, Washington, D.C., Associate Fellow at the International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation (ICSR) at King’s College London and a Visiting Lecturer at the University of Buckingham Centre for Security and Intelligence Studies, UK. A Senior Associate Member at St. Antony’s College, Oxford, from 2004-2005, he is a member of the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London and the Council on Foreign Relations, and a graduate of Yale University and Stanford Law School.  


Dr. Mathew Burrows (Counselor to the National Intelligence Council (NIC) & Director of the Analysis and Production Staff (APS));
Jonathan Paris (London-based Senior Fellow, Atlantic Council)

15.02.2013 - 10:00 bis 13:00
stiftung neue verantwortung
Berliner Freiheit 2
10785 Berlin